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10 Minute Bar Charts will return on July 15 Dow Jokes Inflatables
Archives 12/30/01, 1/1/02, 1/2/02, 1/3/02, 1/4/02, 1/7/02, 1/8/02, 1/09/02, 1/10/02, 1/11/02, 1/14/02, 1/15/02, 1/16/02, 1/17/02, 1/18/02, 1/22/02, 1/23/02, 1/24/02, 1/25/02, 1/28/02, 1/29/02, 1/30/02, 1/31/02, 2/1/02, 2/4/02, 2/5/02, 2/06/02, 2/7/02, 2/9/02, 2/11/02, 2/12/02, 2/13/02, 2/14/02, 2/16/02, 2/19/02, 2/20/02, 2/21/02, 2/23/02, 2/25/02, 2/26/02, 2/27/02, 2/28/02, 3/1/02, 3/04/02, 3/05/02, 3/06/02, 3/7/02, 3/10/02,3/11/02, 3/12/02, 3/13/02, 3/14/02, 3/15/02, 3/18/02, 3/19/02, 3/20/02, 3/21/02, 3/22/02, 3/25/02, 3/26/02, 3/28/02, 3/30/02 4/1/02, 4/2/02, 4/3/02, 4/4/02, 4/6/02, 4/8/02, 4/9/02, 4/10/02, 4/11/02, 4/13/02, 4/15/02, 4/16/02, 4/17/02, 4/18/02, 4/20/02, 4/22/02, 4/23/02,4/24/02,4/25/02, 4/26/02, 4/27/02, 4/29/02, 4/30/02 5/01/02, 5/2/02, 5/4/02, 5/6/02, 5/07/02, 5/8/02, 5/09/02, 5/10/02, 5/13/02, 5/14/02, 5/15/02, 5/16/02, 5/17/02, 5/20/02, 5/21/02, 5/22/02, 5/23/02, 5/24/02, 5/28/02, 5/29/02, 5/30/02 6/01/02, 6/3/02, 6/4/02, 6/5/02, 6/6/02, 6/7/02, 6/10/02, 6/11/02, 6/12/02, 6/13/02, 6/14/02, 6/17/02, 6/18/02, 6/19/02, 6/20/02, 6/22/02, 6/24/02, 6/25/02, 6/26/02, 6/27/02, 6/30/02
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The Anals of Stock ProctologyPublished weeknights by
8:30PM Happy Acres, Florida Time The American Academy of Stock Proctology and Dr. Stool will be traveling from June 29 to July 14. The Anals will not be regular during that time. An abbreviated version of the nightly commentary will be published when internet access is available. Doc will post a message on the Stool Pigeons Wire on days the Anals will be published. Intraday updates will not be published. Subscription Renewals are coming up! Did you subscribe nearly 90 days ago? If you want to renew, do nothing. If you subscribed via Paypal, your subscription will be renewed automatically on the 90 day anniversary and your credit card will be charged. If you want to cancel, use the button at the bottom of the page. This applies only if you subscribed through Paypal. Mailed-in subscriptions are for 1 year. If you subscribed by prior contribution, I will send you a notice before your subscription expires. If you have any questions, see the subscription page and FAQ's. If you can't find the answer, email me. From The Road (7/2/02) Here's a capsule summary of the indexes, with updated cycle summary charts. I wrote yesterday, "there's no real sign of a crash, but a down day today could mean the rest of the week will be soft." Let's make that, "real soft." I'm likely to be out of touch until Friday but will check in if access is available.
Portfolio Sphincters Index (SPX) and Sentiment The 17 day rate of change, which represents the 6-7 week cycle, remained stuck in a trough.. The 6-7 week oscillator superimposed on the price chart, continued rising suggesting a sideways up phase that could lead to even greater weakness in the weeks ahead. The 10-13 week cycle oscillator (navy) continued declining. This indicates that we haven't seen the 10-13 week cycle low yet. The final downleg may be getting under way. The projected low ranges from 900 to 935. The 29 day rate of change fell to a new low. This indicator should stabilize and turn up ahead of price when the 10-13 week cycle bottoms. The VIX rose to 30.56. On the inverted scale chart, VIX remains in the center of the channel. At a major low, extreme fear readings normally persist for several days. A buy signal will not be generated until the index drops below the blue band for several days and then reverses. The blue channel lines are the extension of a linear
regression channel from the February and May 2001 highs. The 6 month cycle
oscillator is still drifting lower confirming the downtrend. The trading
stoolicator is still signaling a downtrend. The short cycle oscillator
downticked signaling the end of the short cycle swup. The 10-13 week cycle oscillator
downticked and the trend remains down. The low is due anywhere from 6 to
21 days from now in the low 900s. The Cycle Conditions tables include cycle phase and a wild guess as to number of periods to the next turn, in days for the shortest cycles, weeks (W) or months (M) for the longer ones. This is a fluid exercise, in other words, the projections are likely to be wrong, but they force us to be vigilant for key turning points, and frequently work well enough to prevent costly misreadings. SPX Cycle Conditions as of 7/1/02
PTT - Periods Till Turn Nasgap Charts The 10-13 week cycle
oscillator downticked and is still in a downtrend. The trading stoolicator
is still declining. The short cycle oscillator turned down, signaling the
end of the sideways up phase. A low of 1250 is due in 7 to 27 trading days. Nasdaq Cycle Conditions as of 7/1/02
PTT
- Periods Till Turn AM Edition Features (Previous) Long Bong Hit -Returning July 15 Suctor Watch - Returning July 15 Stoolwethers - Returning July 15 Stock O'der Day - Returning July 15 Stock O'der will resume when Doc returns from vacation. Many tanks for your excellent suggestions! Henceforth and forevermore, if you would like to request a "stock o'der", please post your request in Dear Dr. Stool. If you have not already registered for the message board, please do so. The only required info is user name and password which you choose yourself, and your email address, which you can keep private by selecting the keep private option. Doc looks forward to featuring your ideas. We've had some good ones! Uncle Buck's Illness Returning July 15 Golden Stool See you in Intraday Stool. Dr. Stepan N. Stool Let me know what you think on the Stool Pigeons Wire. Renewals Welcome, and thank you for subscribing to the Anals of Stock Proctology. Your trial subscription will run for 90 days. At the end of that period your subscription will renew automatically, unless you cancel. If you wish to cancel your subscription use the button below. If you want to renew your subscription do nothing. Your subscription will renew and your credit card or Paypal bank account will be charged. Again, thanks for subscribing!
Explanation of Intraday Commentary-Build charts at http://www.livecharts.com. For custom time bars insert a comma after symbol and number of minutes, e.g. compx,90. This will give you a bar chart of the Nas with 90 minutes per bar. The one day cycle is usually most clear with 8 minute bars and 26/18 stochastics. It varies from day to day. Sometimes 6 minutes works best. Experiment to find the best fit for your trading style, and the market's dominant frequency at the time. The goal here is primarily to monitor the condition of the 8 and 13 day cycles. I typically use 90 minute bars with 26/18 stochastics for the 13 day cycle proxy on the indices during regular trading hours. Other cycles use 26/18 stochastics with the following: 8 days- 60 minute bars On the 24 hour futures charts, use a time per bar approximately 3 to 4 times the above number of minutes, to represent the cycles listed above. ABBREVIATIONS: cma: centered moving average |
![[Most Recent XAU from www.kitco.com]](http://www.weblinks247.com/indexes/idx24_nasdaq_en_2.gif)
![[Most Recent XAU from www.kitco.com]](http://www.weblinks247.com/indexes/idx24_sp500_en_2.gif)
![[Most Recent Quotes from www.kitco.com]](http://kitconet.com/charts/metals/gold/t24_au_en_usoz_2.gif)
The
Dow dropped to the center of its downtrend channel. The 8-13 day cycle is
still in a sideways up phase but the
4-5 week and 10-13 cycles are still down and the 6-7 week cycle
looks toppy. The 10-13 week cycle projection remains 8650.
. (Sorry about the bull.)
You've seen the software advertised on TV. 
