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IDS World Markets Mon 28th January 08


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Posted
We must be near some sort of top, only 58 users here. B)

640786[/snapback]

 

Definitely in Limbo here.....It just depends on where the Pigmen want to take things.....

 

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Posted

Here's the updated chart of FOMC meetings going back to 1999. Red arrows are rate cuts, green arrows are rate increases, and blue arrows are no change. The black arrows point out emergency meetings and rate cuts. (please note that the arrows are as close as I could get them to the actual weekly line, but some may have shifted when it was uploaded. Close enough for government work).

 

A couple of interesting points: during the last bear, the rate cutting campaign was only for 1 year in 2001. Then they basically sat by, with the exception of one rate cut in 2002 and one in 2003. Raising rates didn't start until 6 months after the SP regained its moving averages.

 

Interestingly, I did not know they had an emergency cut on 1/3/01. That was the first cut after the market topped. It was around the 1300 level, which, incidentally, is where we were last week when they did the emergency cut. Hmmm....

 

Here's what they said in the 1/3/01 statement:

 

"These actions were taken in light of further weakening of sales and production, and in the context of lower consumer confidence, tight conditions in some segments of financial markets, and high energy prices sapping household and business purchasing power. Moreover, inflation pressures remain contained. Nonetheless, to date there is little evidence to suggest that longer-term advances in technology and associated gains in productivity are abating.

 

The Committee continues to believe that, against the background of its long-run goals of price stability and sustainable economic growth and of the information currently available, the risks are weighted mainly toward conditions that may generate economic weakness in the foreseeable future."

(bold is my edit - I thought that was funny compared to today)

post-4028-1201552154_thumb.jpg

Posted

We've tested the broken trendline and it held. The only decent thing to do is to test the recent low. Of course, by that logic it should ramp to the moon, Alice.

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Posted

Ouch! Pigmen are sure giving me some heat on my KBH short today.

 

No way retail or anybody else can be buying this.

 

I am going to hang in there. They will have to let her go eventually.

Posted
Here's the updated chart of FOMC meetings going back to 1999.  Red arrows are rate cuts, green arrows are rate increases, and blue arrows are no change.  The black arrows point out emergency meetings and rate cuts.  (please note that the arrows are as close as I could get them to the actual weekly line, but some may have shifted when it was uploaded.  Close enough for government work). 

 

A couple of interesting points:  during the last bear, the rate cutting campaign was only for 1 year in 2001.  Then they basically sat by, with the exception of one rate cut in 2002 and one in 2003.  Raising rates didn't start until 6 months after the SP regained its moving averages.

 

Interestingly, I did not know they had an emergency cut on 1/3/01.  That was the first cut after the market topped.  It was around the 1300 level, which, incidentally, is where we were last week when they did the emergency cut.  Hmmm....

 

Here's what they said in the 1/3/01 statement:

 

"These actions were taken in light of further weakening of sales and production, and in the context of lower consumer confidence, tight conditions in some segments of financial markets, and high energy prices sapping household and business purchasing power. Moreover, inflation pressures remain contained. Nonetheless, to date there is little evidence to suggest that longer-term advances in technology and associated gains in productivity are abating.

 

The Committee continues to believe that, against the background of its long-run goals of price stability and sustainable economic growth and of the information currently available, the risks are weighted mainly toward conditions that may generate economic weakness in the foreseeable future."

(bold is my edit - I thought that was funny compared to today)

640792[/snapback]

 

That sounds like ground hog day eight years later.

Thanks for the chart.

The BSC shill was on CNBS -growth will be 2%. The FED is cutting to protect the stock market. The shills always deny that. :blink:

Posted
Ouch! Pigmen are sure giving me some heat on my KBH short today.

 

No way retail or anybody else can be buying this.

 

I am going to hang in there. They will have to let her go eventually.

640795[/snapback]

 

 

just joined the fun at 25.80

Posted
*DJ Senate Finance Plan Includes Tax Break For Ailing Business

640797[/snapback]

 

Ailing businesses....bullish

 

post-1110-1201553910_thumb.jpg

Posted
just joined the fun at 25.80

640799[/snapback]

 

 

Yeh, will be a lot of stops planted there. I knew that is what the pigmen were after.

 

I just hope they dont gap it up tomorrow to go after the new shorts who will have reloaded there.

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